{"schema_version":"donotact_resolved_proof_case_detail_v1","as_of":"2026-06-21T04:10:40.241907Z","public_resolved_proof_case":true,"case_id":"donotact-polymarket-557759-resolved-uma-dispute","canonical_path":"/resolved-proof-cases/donotact-polymarket-557759-resolved-uma-dispute","canonical_url":"https://donotact.com/resolved-proof-cases/donotact-polymarket-557759-resolved-uma-dispute","json_path":"/resolved-proof-cases/donotact-polymarket-557759-resolved-uma-dispute.json","json_url":"https://donotact.com/resolved-proof-cases/donotact-polymarket-557759-resolved-uma-dispute.json","source_feed":"/resolved-proof-cases.json","not_advice":true,"methodology":{"case_inclusion_rule":"A resolved proof case is included only when Polymarket Gamma currently reports umaResolutionStatus=resolved, umaResolutionStatuses[] contains disputed, and an outcome can be read from final outcomePrices.","live_prediction_rule":"evidence_mode is live_flagged_before_dispute only when a stored DoNotAct DO_NOT_ACT verdict timestamp is earlier than an explicit dispute transition timestamp. Gamma does not expose per-status transition timestamps, so cases without that proof are labelled backtest or concurrent/posterior.","outcome_rule":"Resolved outcome is inferred only when Gamma outcomes[] and outcomePrices[] contain an exact final 1/0 outcome pair.","sources":"Polymarket Gamma market endpoint, plus DoNotAct diagnostic ledger rows where present.","what_is_not_proven":"No user position, trade intent, fill, avoided monetary loss, ROI, alpha, or trading performance is inferred."},"honesty":{"live_cases":[],"backtest_cases":["donotact-polymarket-580810-resolved-uma-dispute","donotact-polymarket-557759-resolved-uma-dispute","donotact-polymarket-2615935-resolved-uma-dispute","donotact-polymarket-2612271-resolved-uma-dispute","donotact-polymarket-2612269-resolved-uma-dispute","donotact-polymarket-2612263-resolved-uma-dispute","donotact-polymarket-2612261-resolved-uma-dispute","donotact-polymarket-2597250-resolved-uma-dispute","donotact-polymarket-2597244-resolved-uma-dispute","donotact-polymarket-2597241-resolved-uma-dispute","donotact-polymarket-2557370-resolved-uma-dispute","donotact-polymarket-2557368-resolved-uma-dispute","donotact-polymarket-2557367-resolved-uma-dispute","donotact-polymarket-2511144-resolved-uma-dispute","donotact-polymarket-2511143-resolved-uma-dispute","donotact-polymarket-2438585-resolved-uma-dispute","donotact-polymarket-2412312-resolved-uma-dispute","donotact-polymarket-2480485-resolved-uma-dispute","donotact-polymarket-2480479-resolved-uma-dispute","donotact-polymarket-2506169-resolved-uma-dispute","donotact-polymarket-2420771-resolved-uma-dispute","donotact-polymarket-2495997-resolved-uma-dispute","donotact-polymarket-2495998-resolved-uma-dispute","donotact-polymarket-2508837-resolved-uma-dispute"],"concurrent_or_post_dispute_cases":["donotact-polymarket-2354011-resolved-uma-dispute","donotact-polymarket-2297890-resolved-uma-dispute"],"gamma_status_transition_timestamps":"not_exposed_by_gamma_umaResolutionStatuses","famous_backtests_policy":"Any famous/historical case is labelled backtest unless a stored live verdict predating the dispute transition exists."},"case":{"case_id":"donotact-polymarket-557759-resolved-uma-dispute","schema_version":"donotact_resolved_proof_case_v1","case_type":"resolved_uma_dispute_arc","canonical_path":"/resolved-proof-cases/donotact-polymarket-557759-resolved-uma-dispute","json_path":"/resolved-proof-cases/donotact-polymarket-557759-resolved-uma-dispute.json","evidence_mode":"backtest_no_prior_diagnostic_event","live_prior_dispute_claim":false,"prediction_claim_status":"not_claimed","venue":"polymarket","market_id":"557759","question":"Will MicroStrategy purchase Bitcoin July 1-7?","slug":"will-microstrategy-purchase-bitcoin-july-1-7","generated_at":"2026-06-21T04:10:40.241907Z","verdict":"DO_NOT_ACT","diagnostic_endpoint":"not_recorded","diagnostic_observed_at":null,"diagnostic_reason_codes":["UMA_DISPUTE_DETECTED"],"status_history":["proposed","disputed","proposed"],"raw_lifecycle_status":"resolved","disputed_transition_at":null,"disputed_transition_time_status":"not_exposed_by_gamma_umaResolutionStatuses","disputed_status_observed_at":"2026-06-21T04:08:06.178442Z","market_end_at":"2025-07-07T00:00:00Z","uma_liveness_deadline_at":"2025-07-08T06:00:35Z","resolved_observed_at":"2025-07-09T08:29:07.193845Z","resolved_outcome":"No","resolved_outcome_source":"gamma.outcomePrices_exact_final_pair","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":["0","1"],"condition_id":"0x0c8ad9a71972fd2983a76a4243f3719e4b5bb0d82cc92eb01c7ee6617fb2c970","question_id":"0x0c39004f5fa2e7538fc17ae42e13bf84fe2576544d692278903f2cfe5d8c110a","source_refs":[{"source_type":"polymarket_gamma","url":"https://gamma-api.polymarket.com/markets/557759","observed_at":"2026-06-21T04:10:43.483693Z"},{"source_type":"donotact_dispute_ledger","observed_at":"2026-06-21T04:08:06.178442Z","evidence_status":"sourced"}],"arc":[{"stage":"diagnostic_verdict","at":null,"status":"not_recorded_for_this_market","verdict":"DO_NOT_ACT"},{"stage":"uma_disputed_history","at":null,"observed_at":"2026-06-21T04:08:06.178442Z","status":"historical_status_present_no_transition_timestamp"},{"stage":"uma_resolved","at":"2025-07-09T08:29:07.193845Z","outcome":"No","source_field":"gamma.outcomePrices_exact_final_pair"}],"proof_sha256":"9280b6f7979420eaa1e005ed4d853d9f4e2b5036846e904309d86f72f1526f68","proof_statement":"Public source evidence currently shows market 557759 as resolved with a disputed UMA status history. This case is labelled backtest_no_prior_diagnostic_event; no monetary or live-prediction claim is made unless explicitly timestamp-supported.","monetary_claim_status":"not_measured","avoided_loss_amount_usd":null,"avoided_loss_claim":null,"roi_claim":null,"customer_position_known":false,"counterfactual_execution_known":false,"not_advice":true,"proof_signature":{"schema_version":"donotact_public_proof_signature_v0","status":"signed","algorithm":"Ed25519","key_id":"86f5b412a1d3e9c3","issued_at":"2026-06-21T04:10:43Z","message_sha256":"0338385a3b939c7246f579f93c153aa54b160557624c67a47f7a6f609c8b97d4","signature":"ccf253714e3d55773d30dd5bf04a90c4bbfd102a2b512667e4f4db082fa3f310d3e7e049d599a43d788431fbc42596d77d2d80357f593ab8a00c29be1661480b","signed_fields":["case_id","venue","market_id","verdict","observed_at","proof_sha256","monetary_claim_status","issued_at"],"not_advice":true},"receipt_status":"public_case_signed"},"agent_instruction":"Use this resolved proof case as evidence of the public UMA dispute/resolution arc only. Do not convert it into a live prediction, avoided-loss, ROI, position, fill, or performance claim.","links":{"all_resolved_cases_json":"/resolved-proof-cases.json","all_proof_cases":"/proof-cases","receipt_public_key":"/.well-known/donotact-receipt-key.json"}}